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| Adam Carr's Election Archive
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Australian federal election, 2025
Division of Forrest, Western Australia
Named for: Rt Hon Sir John Forrest (1847-1918), explorer and surveyor. WA MP 1883-87, 1888-1901, first Premier of WA 1890-1901,federal MP 1901-18.
South-western Western Australia: Bunbury, Bussleton, Capel, Harvey, Margaret River
Enrolment at 2019 election: 105,421
Enrolment at 2022 election: 113,008 (+07.3)
1999 republic referendum: No 65.1
2018 same-sex marriage survey: Yes 63.8
2023 Voice referendum: No 69.0
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Sitting member: Hon Nola Marino (Liberal): Elected 2007, 2010, 2013, 2016, 2019, 2022. Retiring 2025
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2007 Liberal majority over Labor: 5.8%
2010 Liberal majority over Labor: 8.7%
2013 Liberal majority over Labor: 12.3%
2016 Liberal majority over Labor: 12.6%
2019 Liberal majority over Labor: 14.6%
2022 Liberal majority over Labor: 4.3%
2025 notional Liberal majority over Labor: 4.2%
Status 2022: Marginal Liberal
Liberal two-party vote 1983-2022
2022 results
Statistics and history
Announced candidates:
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Ben Small
Liberal Party |
Division of Forrest
Forrest was created in 1922, occupying the rural south-western corner of WA, whose largest centre is Bunbury.
Although this is still a largely agricultural area, tourism is becoming an increasingly important industry,
employing 5.9% of the workforce. Forrest has the typical characteristics of a rural seat: low median icome level,
low level of people from non English speaking countries and low proportion of people in professional occupations.
Forrest has a usually been a safe seat for the non-Labor parties: Labor has only won it three times, most recently in
1969. Before 1949 it was usually a Country Party seat but the Nationals are no longer a serious threat to Liberal
dominance. Members for Forrest have included Labor Cabinet minister
Nelson Lemmon and Liberal Cabinet minister
Gordon Freeth.
Nola Marino, Liberal MP for Forrest since 2007, was a small business owner
in Harvey before her election. She was Chief Government Whip 2015-19, and was Assistant Minister for Regional Development and Territories
in the Morrison Government. She will retire at the 2025 election. The new Liberal candidate will be former Senator Ben Small.
The 2022 election saw large swings to Labor in all the Western Australian seats including Forrest. This was largely due to state issues,
particularly arising from the COVID pandemic. This means that the Labor vote in Forrest is considerably over-stated.
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